Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 10 at 3.24am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	New England Revolution	19	-1	25
9	Inter Miami	18	-5	22
10	Atlanta United	18	0	20

We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union are on a better run of results heading into this one but Inter Miami's home form indicates that they are certainly no pushovers. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
38.53% ( -0.19)	26.72% ( 0.03)	34.75% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-0.11)

53.32% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.09)

74.86% (

0.09)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

-0.16)

26.96% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

-0.21)

62.3% (

0.2)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

0.04)

29.2% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

0.05)

65.15% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 38.53%

Philadelphia Union 34.75%

Draw 26.72%

Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.75%