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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
1 - 2
NY City

Carranza (47')
Wagner (45'), Elliott (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martinez (2'), Wolf (45+2')
Rodriguez (51'), Ojeda (62'), Perea (78'), Bakrar (87'), Jones (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 New York City FC

While New York City come into this fixture with momentum, they have struggled in defence on the road are yet to register their first away clean sheet this season. Philadelphia, on the other hand, have scored two goals in all but one of their home games this season but have shipped eight in their last three alone. There should be no shortage of goalmouth action in this one, but we feel these teams will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
51.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 24.23% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.54% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.94% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.032 -0.03)70.11% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.71% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.073 -0.07)50.08% (0.073 0.07)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.028000000000006 0.03)33.87% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)70.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 51.23%
    New York City FC 24.54%
    Draw 24.23%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
33.3%
Draw
44.4%
New York City FC
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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