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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 3
Philadelphia


Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 Philadelphia Union

With two sides meeting in the midst of tough runs, something is bound to give on Saturday, and we see the Union being too strong for their struggling hosts, given their quality going forward which has been prevalent even throughout the rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.61% (0.159 0.16) 24.52% (-0.194 -0.19) 34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.23% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.904 0.9)43.64% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.879 0.88)66.03% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.467 0.47)21.54% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.714 0.71)54.6% (-0.714 -0.71)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.443 0.44)24.51% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.618 0.62)58.97% (-0.618 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 40.61%
    Philadelphia Union 34.87%
    Draw 24.51%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Philadelphia Union
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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