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Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Philadelphia Union

Montreal
4 - 2
Philadelphia

Martinez (36'), Duke (56'), Yankov (89'), Ruan (90+2')
Ruan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sullivan (29'), Bueno (41')
Glesnes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Philadelphia Union

Both sides have been poor throughout the domestic campaign, but lately Montreal have shown they can earn results at home, which is why we are giving them a slight edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
38.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.012 0.01)67.72% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.0039999999999907 0)23.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24.51% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.97% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 38.75%
    Philadelphia Union 36.32%
    Draw 24.93%
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.53%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.75%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 36.32%

How you voted: Montreal vs Philadelphia

CF Montreal
57.9%
Draw
29.8%
Philadelphia Union
12.3%
57
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Montreal
Gazdag (56' pen.), Uhre (58')
Gazdag (39')
Elliott (63')
Sunusi (1'), Piette (66')
Campbell (28'), Yankov (41')
Lassiter (45')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Montreal
3-2
Philadelphia
Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')
Uhre (46', 60')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Carranza (21' pen.)
Bedoya (55'), Andres Martinez (82'), Wagner (90+1')
Kamara (59')
Waterman (61'), Miller (90'), Bassong (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Montreal
1-2
Philadelphia
Lappalainen (32')
Kone (20'), Wanyama (23'), Zouhir (67')
Bedoya (53'), Gazdag (56')
Carranza (64')
Carranza (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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