Both sides have been poor throughout the domestic campaign, but lately Montreal have shown they can earn results at home, which is why we are giving them a slight edge in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.