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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2023 at 10pm UK
Subaru Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 1
New England

Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

 The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
56% (1.084 1.08) 22.62% (0.289 0.29) 21.38% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-2.896 -2.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-2.937 -2.94)44.31% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-2.915 -2.92)66.69% (2.922 2.92)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)15.66% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.233 -1.23)44.69% (1.241 1.24)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-2.896 -2.9)34.72% (2.903 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-3.191 -3.19)71.45% (3.198 3.2)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.99%
    New England Revolution 21.38%
    Draw 22.62%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.07% (1.019 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.757 0.76)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.665 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 41')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England
Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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