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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Orlando City


Damiani (65'), Harriel (74'), Sullivan (76'), Vassilev (90+3')
FT

Jansson (35'), Muriel (52'), Gerbet (58'), Dan Thor­halls­son (75'), Gallese (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Orlando City
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Orlando City

After stumbling into the new campaign, Orlando City appear to have hit their stride and will head into the weekend in search of a third win on the spin. Home advantage gives Philadelphia Union an extra edge here but we predict that Orlando will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 33.93% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
42.13% (0.744 0.74) 23.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 33.93% (-0.78 -0.78)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (-0.373 -0.37)41.08% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.381 -0.38)63.47% (0.38 0.38)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.173 0.17)19.75% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (0.279 0.28)51.78% (-0.281 -0.28)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.611 -0.61)23.84% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.883 -0.88)58.02% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 42.13%
    Orlando City 33.93%
    Draw 23.93%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.93%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City
2-4
Philadelphia
Pasalic (8', 79')
Araujo (31')
Baribo (23', 64'), Gazdag (48'), Uhre (51')
Uhre (33'), Lukic (58')
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-3
Orlando City
Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Philadelphia
McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew8530126618
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC8512137616
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati8512109116
4Inter MiamiInter Miami7430126615
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia8413139413
6Nashville SCNashville8413128413
7Orlando City83321512312
8Chicago Fire83321412212
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls833297212
10New York City FCNY City83231111011
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta82331113-29
12New England RevolutionNew England721447-37
13DC United8134918-96
14Toronto8044713-64
15CF MontrealMontreal8026413-92

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver86111761119
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8431117415
3Portland TimbersPortland84221310314
4Colorado RapidsColorado84221111014
5Austin FCAustin841368-213
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles84041011-112
7Dallas83231011-111
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes83141612410
9Seattle SoundersSeattle8233911-29
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8305813-59
11St Louis City822456-18
12Houston DynamoHouston8134612-66
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas81161016-64
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8035615-93
15San Diego FC00000000


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