We said: Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union will look to build on their impressive opening win, but FC Cincinnati's strong form and superior head-to-head record give them the edge.
We expect a tight contest, with both sides posing a threat in attack – however, Cincy's resilience and momentum could see them snatch a narrow win here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.