Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.