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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 2
Philadelphia


Langoni (52'), Ceballos (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baribo (76' og.), Lukic (90+7')
Gazdag (44'), Baribo (78'), Makhanya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Philadelphia Union have flown out of the blocks so far, while the New England Revolution are yet to take off heading into this weekend's meeting. Albeit by only a narrow margin, we are backing the away side to steal a victory come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.7% (-0.302 -0.3) 24.42% (-0.058 -0.06) 35.87% (0.36 0.36)
Both teams to score 59.76% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (0.319 0.32)43.03% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (0.314 0.31)65.43% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)21.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.86% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.345 0.34)23.67% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.493 0.49)57.78% (-0.493 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 39.7%
    Philadelphia Union 35.88%
    Draw 24.41%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Philadelphia Union
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-1
New England
Baribo (29', 44', 52'), Glesnes (39'), Sullivan (84')
Harkes (50')
Panayotou (66')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
New England
0-3
Philadelphia

Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
rhs 2.0
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