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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Taylor (23'), Messi (57')
Cremaschi (21'), Bright (76'), Falcon (79'), Alba (90+4'), Suarez (90+5'), Busquets (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (80')
Baribo (45'), Glesnes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-2 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union have made a bright start to the season, but this will be their toughest assignment to date, as they now travel to Chase Stadium, where they were beaten 3-1 last season. While Inter Miami may start the match without their talisman and skipper Lionel Messi, they still have plenty of firepower in attack, and we feel they will come out of this match with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
54.85% (-0.156 -0.16) 20.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.04% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)30.95% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.66% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)52.33% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.52% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (-0.129 -0.13)36.42% (0.128 0.13)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)59.14% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 54.86%
    Philadelphia Union 24.55%
    Draw 20.59%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia

Inter Miami
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Philadelphia Union
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Philadelphia
Messi (26', 30'), Suarez (90+8')
Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5')
Uhre (2')
Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72')
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-2
Inter Miami
Uhre (3')
Bedoya (34'), Wagner (64'), Flach (83')
Gressel (47'), Afonso (90+4')
Ruiz (32'), Aviles (66'), Campana (82'), Alba (83')
Ruiz (69'), Aviles (84')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Inter Miami
Glesnes (14'), Carranza (39'), Flach (45+4'), Ruiz (68' og.)
Uhre (15'), Andres Martinez (24')
Taylor (50')
Robinson (84')
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Philadelphia
Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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