Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
NY Red Bulls4 - 2New England
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 New England
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer
We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution
While New England are getting some attacking pieces back, it might take those players some time to get back into game shape, while they are becoming a little too dependent on Carles Gil to create chances. The Red Bulls are much sharper defensively at home, and we expect to see a determined side that will be out to prove that their second-half performance last week was just a minor hiccup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
55.66% ( 0) | 22.47% | 21.87% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
