Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
4 - 2
New England

Morgan (6'), Forsberg (43' pen.), Manoel (84'), Harper (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gil (24'), Vrioni (90')
Kessler (42'), Borrero (66'), Chancalay (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 New England
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution

While New England are getting some attacking pieces back, it might take those players some time to get back into game shape, while they are becoming a little too dependent on Carles Gil to create chances. The Red Bulls are much sharper defensively at home, and we expect to see a determined side that will be out to prove that their second-half performance last week was just a minor hiccup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
55.66% ( 0)	22.47%	21.87% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94% (

43.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54% (

65.46% (

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

15.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91% (

0.01)

44.08% (

-0)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

33.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.19% (

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.66%

New England Revolution 21.87%

Draw 22.47%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.69% Total : 55.66%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.87%