Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.