Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
67.19% (![]() | 17.76% (![]() | 15.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% (![]() | 32.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% (![]() | 53.78% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.14% (![]() | 8.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.68% (![]() | 30.31% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% (![]() | 34.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% (![]() | 70.99% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
2-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.19% | 1-1 @ 7.88% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.76% | 1-2 @ 4.22% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 15.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
11 | DC United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 29 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 41 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
8 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Dallas | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 27 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |