Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
0 - 1
Cincinnati

Araujo (30'), Jansson (62'), Murphy (64'), Halliday (90+1')
Schlegel (23')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Acosta (1')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (56'), Halliday (66'), Valenzuela (90')
Halsey (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 1-0 FC Cincinnati

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture, and we expect another drab affair this weekend. That said, we can also see the home side coming out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
47.78% ( -1.09)	24.1% ( 0.05)	28.12% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

0.49)

44.56% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

0.47)

66.93% (

-0.48)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

-0.24)

18.77% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82% (

-0.41)

50.18% (

0.4)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

1.02)

29.26% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

1.23)

65.22% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 47.78%

FC Cincinnati 28.12%

Draw 24.1%

Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.78%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.37% Total : 28.12%