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Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
San Jose Earthquakes

Montreal
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Martinez (51', 55'), Clark (72')
Marshall-Rutty (52'), Edwards (60'), Pearce (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gruezo (66'), Yueill (86'), Morales (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

 These are the two worst defensive units in MLS, so we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times, and in the end, we believe the urgency of Montreal, who are still in playoff contention, will defeat a Quakes side that have looked disinterested for weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 22.18% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.48% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.84% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)36.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)59.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)14.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)42.67% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.6%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 51.34%
    San Jose Earthquakes 26.48%
    Draw 22.18%
CF MontrealDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 51.34%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.48%

How you voted: Montreal vs Earthquakes

CF Montreal
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
8.3%
12
Head to Head
May 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 17
Montreal
P-P
Earthquakes
Mar 3, 2019 3am
Gameweek 1
Earthquakes
1-2
Montreal
Eriksson (11')
Cummings (66'), Thompson (73'), Judson (77')
Piatti (29'), Taider (44')
Sagna (45'), Azira (58'), Choiniere (82'), Bush (90')
Jul 15, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Montreal
2-0
Earthquakes
Taider (8'), Piatti (74')
Krolicki (37'), Silva (85')

Godoy (26'), Lima (59'), Wondolowski (90')
Mar 5, 2017 3am
Earthquakes
1-0
Montreal
Godoy (17')
Alashe (35'), Salinas (90')

Duvall (14'), Camara (45'), Mancosu (83')
Camara (66')
Sep 29, 2016 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Earthquakes
Oduro (22'), Piatti (32'), Venegas (92')
Camara (50'), Cabrera (56'), Piatti (86'), Venegas (86'), Drogba (91')
Wondolowski (62')
Francis (12')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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