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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
St Louis City

Earthquakes
1 - 2
St Louis City

Ebobisse (40')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Teuchert (4'), Hartel (12' pen.)
Hartel (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 St Louis City

St. Louis still have a slim chance of making it to the playoffs, giving them something to play for compared to San Jose, who are already out of contention. Although the visitors have dominated this fixture in the past, their away form leaves much to be desired, and that is why we believe the best they can hope for in this match is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSt Louis City
56.37% (-0.052 -0.05) 20.77% (0.004999999999999 0) 22.86% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.78% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.8% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)55.63% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.49% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (0.056000000000012 0.06)27.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 56.37%
    St Louis City 22.86%
    Draw 20.77%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 22.86%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs St Louis City

San Jose Earthquakes
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
St Louis City
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
2-0
Earthquakes
Lowen (28'), Kijima (41')
Reid (56'), Vassilev (61')

Lopez (66'), Costa (72')
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
St Louis City
Monteiro (47')
Monteiro (49'), Tsakiris (84'), Akapo (90+1')
Adeniran (41', 58')
Jackson (59'), Pompeu (90+2'), Ostrak (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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