We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes
We think that San Jose will extend their unbeaten run here, and also claim their first away win of the season.
The Quakes look much improved in virtually every aspect of their game early on, while RSL have only won once at home all season, and despite it being a resounding victory, we think it could be a one-off.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.