Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.