Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Sporting Kansas City
Solid team unity and some quality up front can take you a long way, and the Quakes look much improved in virtually every aspect of their game early on.
Kansas City have put together some good performances at times but cannot seem to find solutions to their goalscoring woes, which is why we are tipping the Quakes to claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.17% . A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.35% .
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.4%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.34%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result San Jose Earthquakes Draw Sporting Kansas City 54.17% ( 0) 23.49% ( 0) 22.35% ( 0)
Both teams to score 53.56%
53.05% ( -0) 46.95% ( 0.01)
30.8% 69.2% ( 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
82.76% ( 0) 17.24% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.45% 47.55% ( 0)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
64.71% ( 0) 35.29% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.96% ( -0) 72.04% ( 0)
San Jose Earthquakes 54.16%
Sporting Kansas City 22.35%
Draw 23.49%
San Jose Earthquakes Draw Sporting Kansas City 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.16% 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.49% 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.35%
How you voted: Earthquakes vs Kansas
San Jose Earthquakes
Draw
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
40.0% Sporting Kansas City
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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