Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
54.24% (![]() | 23.09% (![]() | 22.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% (![]() | 44.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% (![]() | 67.21% (![]() |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% (![]() | 16.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.86% (![]() | 46.14% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% (![]() | 33.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% (![]() | 70.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 10.04% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 22.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |