Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
We said: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver are undefeated in five encounters against the Eastern Conference this season, and they look like a well-oiled machine across the board right now, while their key attacking threats remain in fine form.
One solid performance is not enough to change the fortunes of Toronto, who have been very inconsistent, while their leaky defence could be under duress against a Vancouver squad that are deadly in transition.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39% . A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%) . The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.
Result Toronto Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 39% ( 0.02) 25.06% ( -0) 35.93% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.01)
54% ( 0.01) 46% ( -0.01)
31.69% ( 0.01) 68.3% ( -0.01)
76.63% ( 0.01) 23.36% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.66% ( 0.02) 57.33% ( -0.02)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
74.99% ( -0.01) 25.01% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.32% ( -0.01) 59.67% ( 0.01)
Toronto 39%
Vancouver Whitecaps 35.93%
Draw 25.05%
Toronto Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39% 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.93%
How you voted: Toronto vs Vancouver
Toronto
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
5
rhs 2.0
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