Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
71.55% (![]() | 17.19% (![]() | 11.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.89% (![]() | 39.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% (![]() | 61.43% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.34% (![]() | 9.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.76% (![]() | 32.23% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.5% (![]() | 44.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.47% (![]() | 80.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 11.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.04% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.79% Total : 71.54% | 1-1 @ 8.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.19% | 0-1 @ 3.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |