National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton2 - 1Buxton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Buxton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Buxton |
46.22% ( -0.06) | 25.24% ( 0) | 28.53% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0.03) | 49.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( 0.03) | 71.33% ( -0.03) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( -0.01) | 21.33% ( 0.01) |