MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 17:37:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 1
Buxton

Thewlis (40' pen.), Salmon (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (27')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBuxton
46.22% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 25.24% (0.00099999999999767 0) 28.53% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.029000000000003 0.03)49.28% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.026 0.03)71.33% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.055999999999997 0.06)31.4% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.064 0.06)67.77% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 46.22%
    Buxton 28.53%
    Draw 25.24%
Alfreton TownDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.53%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Alfreton
3-0
Buxton
Riley (45'), Thewlis (62'), Rhead (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1895433141932
2Chorley189542921832
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
4Buxton1910183122931
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn189362119230
7Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
8Chester FCChester178452017328
9Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
10Brackley Town168351913627
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12SouthportSouthport187472530-525
13South Shields1981102533-825
14Leamington FCLeamington176562218423
15Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1972102432-823
16Darlington175751818022
17Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports186481924-522
18Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
19Warrington Town184771824-619
20Oxford CityOxford City184682533-818
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Rushall Olympic1733111731-1412
24Needham Market1833121233-2112


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