MX23RW : Friday, November 8 14:34:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Buxton

Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Southport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
39.26% (-0.943 -0.94) 27.52% (0.365 0.36) 33.22% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.96 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.282 -1.28)56.69% (1.281 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-1.04 -1.04)77.65% (1.04 1.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-1.132 -1.13)28.15% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.46 -1.46)63.83% (1.46 1.46)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)31.89% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.298 -0.3)68.33% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 39.25%
    Buxton 33.21%
    Draw 27.52%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.25%
1-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.432 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1685329111829
2Chorley168532618829
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn168351917227
4Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton148241911826
5Buxton168172617925
6Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster157442112925
7SouthportSouthport167452427-325
8Hereford UnitedHereford166642117424
9Leamington FCLeamington156542114723
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor166552519623
11Alfreton TownAlfreton146531914523
12Chester FCChester156451716122
13Brackley Town146351512321
14Darlington155641514121
15Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic166281825-720
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath145451818019
17South Shields156181722-519
18Warrington Town164661722-518
19Oxford CityOxford City154562228-617
20Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports155281420-617
21RadcliffeRadcliffe163581829-1114
22Marine AFC14347715-813
23Needham Market1633101230-1812
24Rushall Olympic1532101527-1211
> National League North Full Table


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