MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 18:02:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Buxton

Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Southport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
39.26% (-0.943 -0.94) 27.52% (0.365 0.36) 33.22% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.96 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.282 -1.28)56.69% (1.281 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-1.04 -1.04)77.65% (1.04 1.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-1.132 -1.13)28.15% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.46 -1.46)63.83% (1.46 1.46)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)31.89% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.298 -0.3)68.33% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 39.25%
    Buxton 33.21%
    Draw 27.52%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.25%
1-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.432 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1895433141932
2Chorley189542921832
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
4Buxton1910183122931
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn189362119230
7Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
8Chester FCChester178452017328
9Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
10Brackley Town168351913627
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12SouthportSouthport187472530-525
13South Shields1981102533-825
14Leamington FCLeamington176562218423
15Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1972102432-823
16Darlington175751818022
17Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports186481924-522
18Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
19Warrington Town184771824-619
20Oxford CityOxford City184682533-818
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Rushall Olympic1733111731-1412
24Needham Market1833121233-2112
> National League North Full Table


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