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National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
0 - 2
Tamworth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bostwick (53' og.), Acquaye (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 3-1 South Shields
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawTamworth
29.71% (9.941 9.94) 25.82% (3.087 3.09) 44.47% (-13.029 -13.03)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92% (-4.159 -4.16)51.08% (4.16 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (-3.762 -3.76)72.93% (3.763 3.76)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (6.369 6.37)31.47% (-6.367 -6.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (6.756 6.76)67.85% (-6.757 -6.76)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-6.838 -6.84)22.89% (6.839 6.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (-11.225 -11.23)56.65% (11.224 11.22)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 29.71%
    Tamworth 44.47%
    Draw 25.82%
Boston UnitedDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 8.33% (2.426 2.43)
2-1 @ 7.1% (1.851 1.85)
2-0 @ 4.82% (1.946 1.95)
3-1 @ 2.74% (1.036 1.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.462 0.46)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.926 0.93)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 12.28% (1.49 1.49)
0-0 @ 7.2% (1.129 1.13)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.433 0.43)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 10.62% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.825 -0.83)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-2.331 -2.33)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-1.573 -1.57)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-2.348 -2.35)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.354 -0.35)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-1.114 -1.11)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-1.415 -1.42)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.39 -0.39)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.47%

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