National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Aveley3 - 4Farnborough
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Farnborough 2-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aveley | Draw | Farnborough Town |
36.14% | 25.51% ( -0) | 38.35% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.98% ( 0.02) | 48.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.81% ( 0.02) | 70.18% ( -0.01) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( 0.01) | 25.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( 0.01) | 60.79% ( -0.01) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.01) | 24.61% ( -0.01) |