Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Maidstone United | 40 | 42 | 87 |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Concord Rangers | 40 | -19 | 49 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 40 | -23 | 48 |
| 16 | Tonbridge Angels | 40 | -10 | 45 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 58.51% | 22.25% | 19.24% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
