Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.