Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Notts County |
18.03% ( -0.19) | 21.45% ( 0.26) | 60.52% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -1.45) | 43.93% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -1.43) | 66.31% ( 1.44) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% ( -1.07) | 38% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.23% ( -1.05) | 74.77% ( 1.06) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.49) | 14.07% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.34% ( -0.97) | 41.66% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.03% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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