National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Hartlepool United
Eastleigh's one win in eight home games does not bode well against a team that has netted in every away match in 2024. While Phillips's away run remains a small sample size, backing them to nick a win is logical, having claimed seven points from a possible 12 under the former top-flight striker.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25% . A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%) . The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood .
Result Eastleigh Draw Hartlepool United 26.89% ( 0.04) 22.86% ( 0.01) 50.25% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.01)
60.22% ( -0) 39.77% ( 0)
37.87% ( -0) 62.13% ( 0.01)
72.32% ( 0.03) 27.67% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.77% ( 0.04) 63.22% ( -0.04)
83.97% ( -0.02) 16.02% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.63% ( -0.03) 45.36% ( 0.04)
Eastleigh 26.89%
Hartlepool United 50.25%
Draw 22.86%
Eastleigh Draw Hartlepool United 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.89% 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.86% 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.25%
How you voted: Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
Eastleigh
Draw
Hartlepool United
15
rhs 2.0
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