National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
3 - 1
Eastleigh

Crawford (8'), Dieseruvwe (54', 65')
Umerah (22')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maguire (21')
Langston (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Hartlepool
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 5-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Eastleigh
58.33% ( 0.01)	22.25% ( -0)	19.41% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67% (

-0.01)

45.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33% (

-0.01)

67.67% (

0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77%

15.23% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.11%

43.89% (

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

-0.02)

37.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.92% (

-0.02)

74.08% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 58.32%

Eastleigh 19.41%

Draw 22.25%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.32%	1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.41%