Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.