Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.