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National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Hartlepool United

Tamworth
0 - 1
Hartlepool


Tshikuna (60'), Acquaye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grey (82')
Dieseruvwe (8'), Stephenson (32'), Ferguson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 1-2 Hartlepool United

If Hartlepool can play with the same tenacity and desire that they showed against Southend, it would not be surprising if they emerged as victors on Tuesday. However, Tamworth were able to cause Sutton difficulties in their opening game of the National League season, and they could prove to be stubborn opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.

Result
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
32.5% (0.145 0.15) 25.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 42.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.154 0.15)48.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.142 0.14)70.29% (-0.149 -0.15)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.16900000000001 0.17)28.08% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (0.216 0.22)63.75% (-0.221 -0.22)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.012 0.01)56.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 32.5%
    Hartlepool United 42.12%
    Draw 25.38%
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Hartlepool

Tamworth
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Hartlepool United
66.7%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet37257579324782
2York City36218768353371
3Forest Green RoversForest Green361814455292668
4Gateshead361791065471860
5Oldham AthleticOldham361514752391359
6Halifax TownHalifax351611843331059
7AltrinchamAltrincham341510956411555
8Rochdale321571045291652
9Eastleigh361313104942752
10Southend UnitedSouthend361313104640652
11Tamworth371212134757-1048
12Sutton UnitedSutton341211114644247
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil361210144147-646
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Braintree TownBraintree36119163948-942
17Woking35914123849-1141
18Aldershot TownAldershot34913125256-440
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red36812164753-636
20Fylde35106194267-2536
21WealdstoneWealdstone34811154258-1635
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3697204168-2734
23Boston UnitedBoston33610173251-1928
24Ebbsfleet37111252680-5414


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