Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.