FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Fleetwood

Hobson (44')
Penny (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Earl (45+1'), Rooney (46')
Johnson (0'), Wiredu (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-3 Blackpool
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Fleetwood Town

With both sides struggling in their respective divisions, the two may have their priorities based elsewhere ahead of this clash. Fleetwood have fielded relatively strong teams in their cup fixtures so far though, and should Johnson do so again, they should get the better of their fifth-tier hosts here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fleetwood Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fleetwood Town.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Fleetwood Town
35.95%	25.2%	38.84%

Both teams to score 56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35%

46.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08%

68.92%

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92%

60.08%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12%

57.88%

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 35.95%

Fleetwood Town 38.84%

Draw 25.2%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.95%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.84%