Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.