Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.