Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.