National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
2 - 3
Wrexham

Barham (72', 79')
Binnom-Williams (27'), Lawson (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Young (29'), Mullin (59' pen.), Hayden (90+1')
O'Connor (65'), Lee (70'), Hayden (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Maidstone United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions

Last Game: York City 4-1 Maidstone
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Bromley
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Maidstone United 0-2 Wrexham

Maidstone will certainly have taken confidence from their penalty-shootout success over Notts County, but we are finding it very difficult to back them to get anything from this match. Wrexham are on a roll at the moment and should have too much quality for the home side on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Maidstone United	Draw	Wrexham
26.78% ( -0.09)	23.66% ( -0.07)	49.56% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

0.24)

43.54% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

0.23)

65.94% (

-0.23)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.06)

29.72% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

0.07)

65.78% (

-0.06)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

0.15)

17.68% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68% (

0.26)

48.32% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Maidstone United 26.78%

Wrexham 49.56%

Draw 23.65%

Maidstone United	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.78%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 49.56%