FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
3 - 4
Wrexham

Sheaf (36'), Gyokeres (69'), Palmer (76')
Bidwell (83'), Rose (90+8')
Panzo (57')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Dalby (12'), Lee (18'), O'Connor (45+6'), Mullin (58' pen.)
Dalby (16'), Mullin (45+8'), McAlinden (88'), Young (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 3-1 Wrexham

With both managers likely to hand some of their squad players rare game time, we expect to seen an entertaining affair at Coventry on Saturday evening. However, the hosts should have too much quality for their opponents in the end, even if their place in the English footballing pyramid is arguably a false one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Wrexham
40.03% ( 0)	26.07%	33.9%

Both teams to score 53.67% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

50.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

72.65%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

24.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

59.61%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

28.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75%

64.25% (

Score Analysis

Coventry City 40.03%

Wrexham 33.9%

Draw 26.07%

Coventry City	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.03%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.9%