Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Gateshead win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Gateshead |
74.65% ( 0.13) | 15.66% ( -0.05) | 9.69% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.58% | 36.41% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.45% | 58.55% ( -0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.72% ( 0.03) | 8.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.1% ( 0.07) | 28.9% ( -0.07) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.38% ( -0.15) | 45.62% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.58% ( -0.12) | 81.42% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Gateshead |
2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 74.65% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.66% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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