Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
59.45% (![]() | 21.29% (![]() | 19.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% (![]() | 41.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% (![]() | 63.68% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% (![]() | 13.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% (![]() | 40.61% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% (![]() | 35.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% (![]() | 71.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 33 | 51 | 91 |
2 | York City | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 80 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 75 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 63 |
6 | Rochdale | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 61 |
7 | Gateshead | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 57 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 59 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Tamworth | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 57 |
11 | Eastleigh | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 53 |
12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 53 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 52 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 52 |
15 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 |
16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 48 |
18 | Woking | 40 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 46 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 45 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 43 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 43 |
22 | Fylde | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 46 | 73 | -27 | 39 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 19 |
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