Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.