National League | Gameweek 38

May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stockport
1 - 0
Torquay Utd

Madden (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Johnson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Stockport County and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Halifax
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Stockport County	44	49	94
2	Wrexham	44	46	88
3	Solihull Moors	44	38	87

Torquay United

Last Six:

Last Game: Southend 1-1 Torquay Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bromley	44	8	67
11	Torquay United	44	12	66
12	Yeovil Town	44	-3	59

We said: Stockport County 2-0 Torquay United

With no pressure on their shoulders, Torquay will relish the chance to upset the applecart at Edgeley Park on Wednesday night. However, we have to favour Stockport for this game, potentially with a couple of second-half goals to leave them on the brink of promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	Torquay United
69.32%	18.69%	11.99%

Both teams to score 47.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93%

44.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55%

66.45%

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.42%

11.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.46%

36.54%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.55%

46.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.93%

82.07%

Score Analysis

Stockport County 69.31%

Torquay United 11.99%

Draw 18.69%

Stockport County	Draw	Torquay United
2-0 @ 12.5% 1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 4.84% 4-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.31%	1-1 @ 8.89% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.69%	0-1 @ 4.12% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.99%