Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
37.16% ( -0.84) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 37.98% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.21) | 45.02% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.2) | 67.37% ( -0.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.35) | 23.89% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.51) | 58.09% ( 0.51) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.56) | 23.45% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.81) | 57.47% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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