Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.