Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.