Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
20.89% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( -0.16) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.28% ( 0.35) | 34.71% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 56.67% ( -0.39) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( -0.09) | 65.75% ( 0.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.24) | 11.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.25% ( 0.51) | 36.75% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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