We said: Armenia 1-2 North Macedonia
Armenia have won just two of their last 13 matches and struggled to take a single point in the Faroe Islands, so North Macedonia can claim maximum points once again.
Doing the double over their hosts would put the Lions in total control of Group 4 with two games remaining, leaving promotion to League B within their grasp.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.