MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 08:41:17| >> :600:149976:149976:
Armenia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Latvia national football team

Armenia
4 - 1
Latvia

Bichakhchyan (6'), Dubra (35' og.), Zelarayan (48'), Spertsyan (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harutyunyan (9' og.)
Vapne (22'), Ikaunieks (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143
All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

We said: Armenia 2-1 Latvia

While neither side have been particularly strong of late, Armenia have at least demonstrated a good ability to find the back of the net in recent matches. Additionally, Latvia have been poor away from home, and it would not be a surprise if they lost once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Armenia would win this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
64.58% (1.062 1.06) 21.53% (-0.429 -0.43) 13.89% (-0.628 -0.63)
Both teams to score 43.93% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.476 0.48)51.65% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (0.413 0.41)73.43% (-0.407 -0.41)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.509 0.51)15.32% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.95% (0.944 0.94)44.05% (-0.938 -0.94)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.88% (-0.649 -0.65)48.12% (0.655 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.68% (-0.479 -0.48)83.32% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 64.57%
    Latvia 13.89%
    Draw 21.53%
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.97% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.81% (0.189 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.094 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 64.57%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 13.89%

How you voted: Armenia vs Latvia

Armenia
77.1%
Draw
15.7%
Latvia
7.2%
83
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Latvia
2-0
Armenia
Ikaunieks (39'), Balodis (68')
Oss (31'), Emsis (65')
Oss (52')

Haroyan (31')
Jun 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Armenia
2-1
Latvia
Tiknizyan (35'), Barseghyan (90+1' pen.)
Haroyan (10')
Mkrtchyan (67' og.)
Saveljevs (18'), Jaunzems (51'), Uldrikis (81'), Tobers (89')
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