Potentially one of the surprise packages of Euro 2024, the Sesko-inspired Slovenia should run into few obstacles against an out-of-sorts Armenia side on Tuesday evening. The visitors are rarely blown away, but that could all change in Ljubljana, where Kek's side have our vote to storm to a confidence-boosting success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Armenia
65.28% ( -1.7)	20.92% ( 0.83)	13.79% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-1.56)

49.43% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-1.42)

71.47% (

1.41)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.63% (

-1.01)

14.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.75% (

-1.98)

42.24% (

1.98)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.09% (

0.39)

46.9% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58% (

0.29)

82.41% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 65.27%

Armenia 13.79%

Draw 20.92%

Slovenia	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.27%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.92%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.79%